By Jesse Richman and David Earnest, Washington Post, October 24 - Could
control of the Senate in 2014 be decided by illegal votes cast by
non-citizens? Some argue that incidents of voting by non-citizens are so
rare as to be inconsequential,
with efforts to block fraud a screen for an agenda to prevent poor and
minority voters from exercising the franchise, while others define such
incidents as a threat to democracy itself. Both sides depend more heavily on anecdotes than data.
In a forthcoming article in the journal Electoral Studies, we bring real data from big social science survey datasets to bear on the question of whether, to what extent, and for whom non-citizens vote in U.S. elections. Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races. (read more)