When Karl Rove recently said Republicans could take the Senate in 2014, I took it with a grain of salt. He has a pretty cloudy crystal ball. You may recall that during the recent presidential election he predicted a win for Mitt Romney with 279 Electoral College votes. I am not sure why anyone still listens to Karl Rove.
Today however, I got some encouraging news from the enemy camp. MoveOn.org wrote the following:
Dear MoveOn member,
This is stunning: The New York Times' data wizard Nate Silver—who predicted the 2012 election results state-by-state with uncanny accuracy—is now projecting that, "Republicans [are] close to even-money to win control of the [Senate] after next year's elections."1 It's the worst-case scenario: Republicans win a majority in the Senate, and we can kiss the rest of President Obama's agenda goodbye.
MoveOn goes on to say that an advantage the Republicans have is that they can now more easily suppress the vote due to the Supreme Courts ruling on the Voting Rights Act and Republicans also, says Moveon, " have been racing to purge voter rolls, eliminate early voting, and require new photo IDs to vote—anything they can do to make it harder to vote."
When dead people can't vote and unregistered people can't vote and illegal immigrants can't vote, it improves the chances of the Republican party.
This piece from Moveon was a plea for campaign funds so they may have been motivated to inflate the chances of the Republicans for taking the Senate in order to motivate their members to give, but it has encouraged me and made me more inclined to increase my giving to the Republican cause. Below is the story that MoveOn posted that also says Republicans could retake the Senate: